So Miss
W-L: (16-16) PR = 93.7585Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 77-56 1107 A WILCA 92-80 1110 A BLUMO **-39 1113 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 67-61 1118 A Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) 86-53 1122 A Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 86-60 1127 H UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 72-77 1128 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 56-** 1201 H SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 70-83 1207 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 81-73 1214 H Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 64-87 1218 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 84-65 1220 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 76-58 101 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 83-91 103 A Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 98-95 110 H App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 59-82 114 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 76-62 114 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 76-62 117 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 71-81 122 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 52-61 124 H Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 55-81 128 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 67-70 130 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 86-83 204 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 72-83 207 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 67-76 212 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 62-85 214 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 86-77 218 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 83-61 221 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 80-97 225 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 43-57 227 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 68-61 305 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 72-89
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A No Illinois 77-56 21 1 0.58
1113 A Jacksonv St 67-61 6 0 1.62
1118 A Soea LA 86-53 33 2 0.00
1122 A Nicholls 86-60 26 1 0.89
1127 H UAB 72-77 -5 0 - -2.28
1128 H NC State 56-** -54 -3 0.00
1201 H SMU 70-83 -13 0 - -2.01
1207 A UAB 81-73 8 0 1.74
1214 H Miss St 64-87 -23 -2 0.00
1218 A So Alabama 84-65 19 0 1.93
1220 A Louisiana 76-58 18 2 0.43
101 H Arkansas St 83-91 -8 -1 -0.84
103 A Troy 98-95 3 -2 + 3.63
110 H App State 59-82 -23 1 - -2.51
114 A TX St-SM 76-62 14 1 1.21
114 A TX St-SM 76-62 14 1 1.21
117 H Arkansas St 71-81 -10 -1 -0.84
122 H Marshall 52-61 -9 -1 -0.67
124 H Coastal Car 55-81 -26 0 - -2.20
128 H Georgia So 67-70 -3 -1 -0.51
130 A Old Dominion 86-83 3 -1 + 2.73
204 H Jam Madison 72-83 -11 -2 -0.12
207 H Toledo 67-76 -9 0 -1.82
212 H LA-Monroe 62-85 -23 0 -1.79
214 A TX St-SM 86-77 9 1 1.21
218 A Louisiana 83-61 22 2 0.43
221 H Troy 80-97 -17 -2 -0.39
225 H So Alabama 43-57 -14 0 - -2.09
227 A LA-Monroe 68-61 7 0 + 2.23
305 H LA-Monroe 72-89 -17 0 -1.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1127 H UAB 72-77 -5 0 - -2.28 1201 H SMU 70-83 -13 0 - -2.01 110 H App State 59-82 -23 1 - -2.51 124 H Coastal Car 55-81 -26 0 - -2.20 225 H So Alabama 43-57 -14 0 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 A Troy 98-95 3 -2 + 3.63 130 A Old Dominion 86-83 3 -1 + 2.73 227 A LA-Monroe 68-61 7 0 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 77-56 -7.57 3.39 0.01 1.01 6.87
3 A Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 67-61 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.01 8.99
3 A Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) 86-53 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.01 4.87
3 A Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 86-60 -7.27 3.69 0.01 1.01 7.49
3 H UAB (11-19, 93.5) 72-77 -6.41 4.55 -0.01 1.01 -3.25
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 56-** -3.27 7.69 -0.01 1.01 -1.66
3 H SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 70-83 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 1.01 -3.11
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 81-73 -6.41 4.55 0.01 1.01 9.22
3 H Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 64-87 -3.94 7.02 -0.01 1.01 -2.00
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 84-65 -6.22 4.74 0.01 1.01 9.62
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 76-58 -7.72 3.24 0.01 1.01 6.58
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 83-91 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 A Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 98-95 -4.52 6.44 0.01 1.01 13.05
3 H App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 59-82 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.01 -3.37
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 76-62 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.01 8.16
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 76-62 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.01 8.16
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 71-81 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 52-61 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 1.01 -2.43
3 H Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 55-81 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.01 -3.21
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 67-70 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 1.01 -2.35
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 86-83 -5.42 5.54 0.01 1.01 11.24
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 72-83 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 1.01 -2.16
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 67-76 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 1.01 -3.02
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 62-85 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.01 -3.00
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 86-77 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.01 8.16
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 83-61 -7.72 3.24 0.01 1.01 6.58
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 80-97 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.01 -2.29
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 43-57 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 1.01 -3.15
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 68-61 -5.92 5.04 0.01 1.01 10.21
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 72-89 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.01 -3.00
------
76.17
|
winning pts = 119.1975 losing points = -43.0281
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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